ArXiv Study: Information-Theoretic Limits Prove AI Reliability Has a Ceiling, Regardless of Scale
A new ArXiv paper proves that large language models (LLMs) have an inherent reliability ceiling that no amount of scaling can overcome. The study decomposes output uncertainty into a resolvable component (closable with more context) and a subjective component (inherent to task ambiguity), and shows that autoregressive generation further degrades this ceiling.